Change Research’s online polling methodology uses targeted social media ads and text messages to recruit respondents. The organization has a
B- pollster rating from FiveThirtyEight.
The company uses a “modeled” margin of error, which it says accounts for the effects of
weighting the poll
(or making adjustments to better reflect the state’s demographics). The results were weighted on age, gender, race/ethnicity, 2020 vote, education, and region. The modeled margin of error for the statewide sample was +/- 2.5 percentage points. The margin of error for women is +/- 3.3 percentage points. For men it is +/- 3.7 percentage points. The margin of error for Democrats and leaners is +/- 3.7 percentage points. For Republicans and leaners it is +/- 3.7 percentage points. The margin of error for geographies are rural: +/- 3.8 percentage points, suburban: +/- 4.2 percentage points; urban, +/- 5 percentage points.
Rural/suburban/urban distinctions are based on GreatData
classifications
.
More information on the methodology can be found
here.
Keep an eye on MinnPost in the coming days for more reporting on the poll.
Note:
The margins of error in this story have been updated to use the
modeled margin of error.
[raw]
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